How to measure accuracy ?
Diapositive 5 sur 24
1: The Polls of the French Presidential Election of 2002, a Catastrophe?
2: Context
3: Why do polls go wrong?
4: Why do polls go wrong? (followed)
5: How to measure accuracy ?
6: What happened in the first-round of the French presidential election of 2002 ?
7: Difference between the polls published during the last week and the vote
8: Difference between the polls published during the last week and the vote
9: Time-series analysis of the polls published during the last month
10: Time-series analysis of the polls published during the last month
11: 1. Collectively, did the polls accurately forecast the vote ?
12: What happened in the first-round of the French presidential election of 2002 ? (Followed)
13: Pollsters - last published poll
14: Pollsters - last published poll
15: Pollsters - last published poll
16: Time-series analysis of the polls published during the last month
17: 2. Did individual pollsters forecast the vote accurately? Are some methodologies better than others?
18: Comparing France 2002 and US 2000
19: The methodology used in France : can it explain...
20: The methodology used in France : can it explain...
21: The methodology used in France : can it explain...
22: Conclusion
23: Latest News from France
24: Suggestions?
